pmoon 🌙 lowest-temperature motoru (PAPER · v10 filtreleri · 8 şehir)

Settle: 2 · isabet 1/2 (50%) · P&L -9.94$ · ROI -85.0% · açık 5 ($42)

σ rekortmenleri: london 0.58 · tokyo 0.62 — min-sıcaklık, max'tan çok daha tahmin edilebilir. Tarama: her 1 dk, T-0+T-1, METAR obs-üst-sınır.

Açık lowest bahisleri

giriş	şehir	tarih	bucket	sınıf	z	obs-min	fiyat	edge	tutar
11:24	tokyo	2026-08-07	24°C	exact	4.04	—	0.97	+0.039	$10.0
07:49	hong-kong	2026-08-07	29°C	exact	3.28	—	0.97	+0.047	$10.0
14:55	miami	2026-08-06	72-73°F	exact	2.74	—	0.969	+0.031	$10.0
09:40	miami	2026-08-06	74-75°F	exact	2.13	—	0.93	+0.050	$10.0
08:18	london	2026-08-06	13°C	exact	3.09	—	0.96	+0.047	$2.1

Settle geçmişi (tahmin vs gerçek + hata dahil)

tarih	şehir	bucket	sınıf	tahmin	gerçek	hata	giriş	P&L
2026-08-05	nyc	74-75°F	obs	66.6	72.5	-5.9	0.967	+0.06
2026-08-05	nyc	72-73°F	obs	67.5	72.5	-5.0	0.93	-10.00

🔭 Yeni-market keşifleri

bulundu	tip	şehir	aktif market
henüz yeni keşif yok — gözcü günde 2× tarıyor (baz: 51 highest + 8 lowest)

🔍 Son tarama teşhisi · 12:43:13 (134 aday · 0 geçti)

şehir	bucket	z	model	mktYES	edge	sonuç
london	10°C or below ·T0	7.89	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
london	11°C ·T0	6.23	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
london	12°C ·T0	4.57	0.0	0.001	0.0009	edge<0.03
london	16°C ·T0	2.08	0.104	0.001	-0.1032	edge<0.03
london	17°C ·T0	3.74	0.002	0.001	-0.0008	edge<0.03
london	18°C ·T0	5.4	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
london	19°C ·T0	7.06	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
london	20°C or higher ·T0	8.72	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
london	10°C or below	9.11	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
london	11°C	7.45	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
london	12°C	5.78	0.0	0.007	0.007	edge<0.03
london	13°C	4.12	0.0	0.13	0.1295	edge>0.05
london	14°C	2.46	0.051	0.45	0.3991	edge>0.05
london	17°C	2.52	0.045	0.019	-0.026	edge<0.03
london	18°C	4.18	0.0	0.001	0.0006	edge<0.03
london	19°C	5.84	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
london	20°C or higher	7.5	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
paris	12°C or below ·T0	2.74	0.009	0.004	-0.0053	edge<0.03
paris	13°C ·T0	1.97	0.047	—	—	z<2
paris	14°C ·T0	1.2	0.15	—	—	z<2
paris	17°C ·T0	1.1	0.168	—	—	z<2
paris	18°C ·T0	1.86	0.057	0.001	-0.056	edge<0.03
paris	19°C ·T0	2.63	0.011	0.001	-0.01	edge<0.03
paris	20°C ·T0	3.4	0.001	0.001	-0.0002	edge<0.03
paris	21°C ·T0	4.17	0.0	0.001	0.0009	edge<0.03
paris	22°C or higher ·T0	4.93	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
paris	9°C or below	3.2	0.002	0.012	0.0095	edge<0.03
paris	10°C	2.43	0.018	0.073	0.0551	edge>0.05
paris	11°C	1.66	0.08	—	—	z<2
paris	15°C	1.4	0.117	—	—	z<2
paris	16°C	2.17	0.032	0.002	-0.0296	edge<0.03
paris	17°C	2.94	0.005	0.007	0.0021	edge<0.03
paris	18°C	3.71	0.0	0.001	0.0006	edge<0.03
paris	19°C or higher	4.47	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
tokyo	20°C or below ·T0	6.5	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
tokyo	21°C ·T0	4.88	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
tokyo	22°C ·T0	3.25	0.007	0.009	0.0017	edge<0.03
tokyo	26°C ·T0	3.25	0.007	0.001	-0.0063	edge<0.03
tokyo	27°C ·T0	4.88	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
tokyo	28°C ·T0	6.5	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
tokyo	29°C ·T0	8.13	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
tokyo	30°C or higher ·T0	9.76	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
tokyo	22°C or below	7.34	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
tokyo	23°C	5.72	0.0	0.003	0.003	edge<0.03
tokyo	25°C	2.47	0.049	0.07	0.0213	edge<0.03
tokyo	28°C	2.41	0.054	0.05	-0.0042	edge<0.03
tokyo	29°C	4.04	0.001	0.001	0.0004	edge<0.03
tokyo	30°C	5.67	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
tokyo	31°C	7.29	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
tokyo	32°C or higher	8.92	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
shanghai	22°C or below ·T0	6.52	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
shanghai	23°C ·T0	5.53	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
shanghai	24°C ·T0	4.53	0.0	0.001	0.001	edge<0.03
shanghai	25°C ·T0	3.54	0.001	0.004	0.0028	edge<0.03
shanghai	26°C ·T0	2.54	0.019	0.006	-0.0132	edge<0.03
shanghai	27°C ·T0	1.55	0.126	—	—	z<2
shanghai	30°C ·T0	1.44	0.147	0.001	-0.1464	edge<0.03
shanghai	31°C ·T0	2.43	0.025	0.001	-0.0239	edge<0.03
shanghai	32°C or higher ·T0	3.43	0.002	0.001	-0.0007	edge<0.03
shanghai	23°C or below	5.23	0.0	0.002	0.002	edge<0.03

arşiv — kripto: 21 işlem -26$ (KAPALI) · eski hava-agresif: 11 açık settle bekliyor / 3 settle